30/10/2020 17:54 |
EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. informs: Results Presentation 9M20 |
INFORMATION REGLEMENTEE
Lisbon, October 30th, 2020
This document has been prepared by EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company") solely for use at the presentation to be made on this date and its purpose is merely of informative nature and, as such, it may be amended and supplemented. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made, or by reading the presentation slides, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. Therefore, this presentation may not be distributed to the press or to any other person in any jurisdiction, and may not be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part for any other purpose without the express and prior consent in writing of the Company. This presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation do not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer (public or private) to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer (public or private) to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its affiliates or subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation or any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever and may not be used in the future in connection with any offer (public or private) in relation to securities issued by the Company. Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intends,” “estimate,” “will,” “may”, "continue," “should” and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of the Company’s markets; the impact of legal and regulatory initiatives; and the strength of the Company’s competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company’s records and other data available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the company’s business strategy, financial strategy, national and international economic conditions, technology, legal and regulatory conditions, public service industry developments, hydrological conditions, cost of raw materials, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company or industry results to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements. The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice unless required by applicable law. The Company and its respective directors, representatives, employees and/or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances. 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 2 Recovery in 3Q20 vs. 2Q20 of electricity demand and prices in our main markets 75% EBITDA from long-term contracted and regulated activities Renewables: 20 GW installed by Sep-20, with +6.5 GW secured (+0.7 GW closed YTD) Positive developments regarding public support for renewables (EU, US) Viesgo acquisition (electricity network & wind); Disposal of 2 CCGT and B2C supply in Spain Early coal shutdown in Iberia; €1.1bn renewable asset rotation in Europe & US €1bn rights issue (8.45% of share capital) closed in Aug-20 €2.2bn bonds issued in 2020 YTD at 1.7% avg cost: Green bonds represent 30% of total debt 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 3 EBITDA: -2% YoY EBITDA Recovery of hydro production in Iberia and good results in energy management Electricity demand decline YoY, Brazilian Real devaluation vs. Euro (-23%), weak wind resources Recurring Net Profit: +14% YoY Recurring Avg cost of debt -80bps to 3.2% Net Profit Reported Net Profit €422m (-8% YoY), penalized by one-offs (coal shutdown in 2Q, CMEC provision in 3Q) Net debt: -6% YTD to €13.0bn Net Debt / Recurring Organic Cash Flow +36% YoY to €1.4bn EBITDA(1) Gross expansion investments +58% YoY to €2.1bn, of which 89% renewables) CO2 emission factor: -47% YoY gCO2/kWh Renewables production +10% YoY making up 74% of generation mix, CO2 emissions –50% YoY (1) Based on Reported Net Debt excluding net Regulatory Receivables and last 12 months of recurring EBITDA 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 4 Electricity demand 9M20: YoY (1) % YoY 1Q 2Q 0% 0% 3Q -3% -3% -3% -5% -11% -12% -13% (1) Data from EDP Distribuição to Portugal, REE to Spain; Brazil corresponds only to EDP Distribution concession areas in São Paulo and Espirito Santo 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 5 EDP Hydro production in Iberia EDP Wind production TWh TWh 9.6 21.7 20.1 5.9 9M19 9M20 9M19 9M20 Hydro resources Wind resources vs. LT Avg.(1) vs. LT Avg. (P50) Hydro reservoir EoP (1) (TWh) (1) Source: REN. Hydro resources reference from Portugal only. 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 6 EBITDA €m; YoY growth, % ∆ YoY 2,676 2,625 Weaker wind resources (-9% vs. LT avg. in 9M20) -€147m Wind & Solar Asset rotation gains -€26m YoY (€200m in 9M20, wind offshore) +€87m Hydro Iberia Renewables 1,666 1,572 Hydro production in Iberia +62% (-3% vs. hist avg. in 9M20) -€33m Hydro Brazil Regulated returns in Portugal and Spain lower YoY -€15m Iberia Electricity volumes in Brazil: -7% YoY -€72m Brazil Discos Brazil: High gains on VNR(2) in 9M19 (-€51m YoY) 664 Networks 751 +€127m Iberia Iberia growth supported by energy management Client solutions & EM 400 -€13m Brazil 287 -11 -29 Other/adjust 9M19 9M20 (1) FX Impact on EBITDA: -€117m (BRL), -€1m (USD), -€2m Other currencies | (2) Revaluation of residual asset value 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 7 Green bonds Bonds issued Reported Financial Costs €m Amount Coupon Maturity Sep-19 €600m 0.38% 2026 Jan-20 (hybrid) €750m 1.70% 2080 Apr-20 €750m 1.63% 2027 545 527 505 19 Sep-20 USD850m 1.71% 2028 95 431 74 2020/21 bond maturities Amount Coupon Jan-20 USD 583m 4.13% 1Q20 (hybrid) (3) €750m 5.38% Jun-20 €233m 4.13% Sep-20 €462m 4.88% 9M19 Non- 9M19 adj. Interest 9M20 adj. Non- 9M20 (1) interest(2) interest related Jan-21 €553m 4.13% Jan-21 USD 750m 5.25% (1) Non-interest items in 9M19 includes: -€16m of net foreign exchange differences and -€3m capital gains | (2) Non-interest items in 9M20 are related with -€57m liability management cost to repurchase €750m hybrid bond with 5.4% coupon and -€17m net foreign exchange differences and derivatives | (3) Repurchased in 1Q20 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 8 Change in Net Debt: Sep-20 vs. Dec-19 € bn Significant volume of transactions with financial closing expected before 2020YE: +36% YoY -€0.5 Bn FX impact 13.8 -1.0 1.2 13.0 -0.4 -1.4 0.7 +34% YoY 89% renewables 10% grids Brazil Net Debt Recurring Dividends to Net expansion Rights Issue Other & Net Debt Dec-19 Organic Shareholders investment One-off Sep-20 Cash Flow (1) Based on net debt excluding regulatory receivables and impact of sale of tariff deficit, and recurring EBITDA of the last 12 months. Do not include €0.85 bn related with Leasings’ debt accounted as Other Liabilities (IFRS 16 impact) 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 9 Reported Net Profit Recurring Net Profit 9M20 €m €m Δ YoY 460 422 EBITDA 2,647 D&A and 1,057 +47 Provisions EBIT 1,590 9M19 9M20 +97 Net Financial Costs 448 Non-recurring - 76 Income Taxes 249 items (1) Non-controlling €m 224 +44 interest -€63m Extraordinary Energy Tax -€66m Extraordinary -€50m provision on CMEC ancillary services Energy Tax Net Profit 669 -€45m Hybrid bond buyback -€59m Fridão -€89m Coal impairments and provisions (1) At net profit level, net of taxes 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 10 Projects already secured to be built with long term contracts(1) Increased Global Public Support GW; Sep-20 By technology By geography European Union 55% emissions cut by 2030 vs. 1990 €750 Bn Next Generation Fund, 13% >30% contribution to climate targets 26% 35% US 22% PTC Extension secured: 100% for CODs 2021-22; 60% for CODs 2023-24 65% Ambitious renewables policy proposals under discussion 39% (1) Includes 0.5 GW of wind in Spain and Portugal from Viesgo renewables acquisition, with financial closing expected in 4Q20 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 12 Timeline of EDP asset rotation deals 2012-2020:(1) Asset rotation gains 0.4 €bn asset rotation deals agreed in 2012-2020: sold of proceeds 0.3 Avg. 2019-20 BP Annual average: ~2 deals and ~0.5 GW sold assumptions 0.1 Better than expected valuations achieved in 2019-20 support positive outlook for this activity in 2021-22 2012-2018 2019 2020E Avg. 2021- (annual)(2) 22 BP assumption (1) Does not include 5 asset rotation deals on stakes of wind offshore assets in 2017-2020; considers net capacity sold 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 13 (2) Asset rotation deals until 2018 included only sale of minority stakes, in which gains were accounted directly at equity book value against reserves and not at P&L level Electricity generation mix Specific emissions Revenues from coal % % gCO2/kWh 8% Gas(1) 10% 18% 19% 340 9% 7% Coal 34% 18% 7% 231 5% 74% 122 64% Renewables 58% 2015 9M19 9M20 <2030 2015 9M19 9M20 2030 2018 9M19 9M20 <2030 (1) Includes residual contribution from other technologies (Nuclear, CHP and Waste) 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 14 Weak macro context, but with supportive regulation Steep BRL devaluation, mitigated by local funding & inflation update Covid Account: R$0.6bn liquidity for EDP Brasil, partial Discos regulated revenues updated to inflation (IGP-M) recovery of COVID related overcontracting costs EDP ES: +9.3% (Aug-20), EDP SP: +17.9% (Oct-20) Funding in local currency Interest rates at historical lows (selic rate at 2.0) Extension of hydro concession periods as a of R$3.7 bn capex in 6 transmission lines, full compensation for hydro deficit (GSF) costs completion expected in 2021 supported by hydro plants with energy contracts in ~75% of leverage (fully in local currency) free market Contracted revenues, updated to inflation (IPCA), no In final stage of resolution by ANEEL exposure to demand 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 15 • • • • (single digit growth YoY despite COVID challenging context) • (1) Recurring Net Profit excludes exceptional and non-recurring items (including extraordinary energy tax/CESE) 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 16 EBITDA - Wind & Solar €m; YoY growth, % 1,221 9M19 9M20 YoY 1,074 Avg. Installed Capacity(1), GW Europe 743 Production vs. LT Avg. (P50), % 575 Electricity Production, TWh Avg. selling price, €/MWh 487 North America 455 Asset rotation gains, €m Brazil & Other 23 11 9M19 9M20 (1) Considers capacity at EBITDA level 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 18 EBITDA - Hydro €m; YoY growth, % 9M19 9M20 YoY Hydro production(1), TWh 499 445 Avg selling price(2), €/MWh Reservoirs, TWh 401 Iberia 314 9M19 9M20 YoY Avg selling price, R$/MWh Brazil 130 97 GSF 9M19 9M20 (1) Excludes small hydro plants | (2) Does not consider results from hedging 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 19 EBITDA - Networks 9M19 9M20 YoY €m; YoY growth, % Return on RAB Portugal(1), % 751 Return on RAB Spain, % 664 Opex Iberia, €m Portugal 382 378 9M19 9M20 YoY Transmission EBITDA, R$m Spain 117 106 Distribution EBITDA, R$m Brazil 252 180 VNR (2), R$m 9M19 9M20 Electricity distributed, TWh (1) RoRAB of HV/MV (2) Revaluation of residual asset value 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 20 EBITDA – Client Solutions & Energy Management €m; YoY growth, % ∆ YoY Good results on energy management in Iberia supported 400 by anticipated contracting in energy prices, thermal spreads and optimization of portfolio in a volatile energy market environment 287 228 Resilient B2C demand and increased services penetration EM & Thermal Iberia 116 (e.g. Distributed solar and Funciona) Coal production -58% YoY (avg. load factor 17%) Supply Iberia 74 88 B2B supply volumes Iberia -14% YoY, negative impact from Thermal Brazil 88 re-sale of previously purchased volumes at low pool prices 78 Supply & EM Brazil 10 7 9M19 9M20 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 21 Weight on Opex Operations Indicator YoY Change Main drivers Iberia Opex(1) -2% avg. headcount vs. Sep-19 EDP Brasil Opex(1) excl. growth and forex Avg. inflation: +2.9%(2) Growth of renewables development EDPR Adj. Core Opex/MW(3) activity Opex ex-forex (1) Opex like-for-like (excl. growth) (1) Operating Costs Cash Recurring: Opex excluding caps, one-offs and forex impact. 2019: Caps (+€99m); 2020: Caps (+€110m), one-offs (-€8m), forex (-€45m); | (2) Avg. IPCA 9M20 | (3) Core Opex adjusted by asset rotation, offshore costs (mainly cross-charged to projects’ SPVs), service fees, one-offs and FX 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 22 Financial liquidity as of Sep-20 EDP consolidated debt maturity profile as of Sep-20 € bn € bn EDP Brasil EDP SA & EDP Finance BV and Other 2.9 2.5 Cash & Equivalents: 1.8 1.7 Of which: 1.6 1.4 1.4 • >90% due in 2024/25 Available Credit Lines: 1.3 • >25 counterparties 1.1 Total Liquidity 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 > 2027 1Q20: €0.75 bn hybrid 2020 Mar 9th: €0.8 bn Apr 7th: €0.75 bn Jul 14th: €0.3 bn Aug 11th: €1bn Sep 17th: US$0.85 replacement (new main deals tariff deficit sale green bond tariff deficit sale rights issue bn green bond issue + buy back) 9M20 RESULTS PRESENTATION 23 IR Contacts E-mail: ir@edp.com Phone +351 210 012 834 Site: www.edp.com Next Events Nov 2nd-3rd: JP Morgan Global Energy Conference Nov 19th: CA CIB Utilities & Infrastructure Conference 24 |